For many years we have tracked Bend real estate trends and have consistently watched home prices rise year over year. Since coming out of the housing recession in 2011, Bend median home prices have risen over 465% from a low of $165,210 in December, 2010 to a high of $775,000 in March of 2022. When the Covid-19 pandemic hit, the rate of Bend home price increase accelerated to over 75% in three years. This rate of increase was unsustainable and since reaching their high last summer, Bend home prices have fallen.
February 2023 was the first month which saw a year over year price reduction in Bend homes. When February 2023 Bend single family home sales on less than an acre are compared with those from February 2022, the following changes can be seen:
The road ahead for Bend home sales in 2023 is facing many changes from that seen in 2022. Although the fall 2022 Bend real estate market experienced a season of transition with a significant slowing of home sales, the change should be looked at in relationship to the market prior to the Covid-19 pandemic and resulting real estate boom. While the road ahead appears to be in a "slow down" mode, it is all relative to an overall healthy market more balanced between sellers and buyers.
When January 2023 is compared with January 2022 for Bend single family home sales, the following changes are noted:
When we study Bend real estate sales in 2022, we can state with confidence that the first six months were very different that the second half of the year. The first half of the year was a continuation of what was seen in 2021, with Bend single family home sales greatly impacted by lack of inventory and relatively low interest rates. It was an extremely strong sellers' market with multiple offers and contingency waivers a normal occurrence. However, the second half of the year was highly influenced by rising mortgage interest rates with these more than doubling in just a few months - something that had never happened before in the country's history. The high mortgage rates changed the buying power of potential Bend homebuyers, and the sales of
Ask any Bend Premier Real Estate broker about the local housing market and they will tell you that it is changing. After the initial few weeks of the Covid-19 pandemic, real estate sales across the nation accelerated beyond any seen before. Lack of inventory coupled with low interest rates led to multiple-offers, tremendous buyer demand and rising home prices; between March of 2020 and March of 2022, the average price of a Bend single family home on less than an acre increased 67%. This rate of increase was not sustainable. When
Although the 30 year interest rate has moderated a bit from its high of 7.08% hit November 10, 2022, the rapid increase in mortgage interest rates we have seen since the beginning of 2022 has greatly impacted our buyer's purchasing power. Many buyers are regretting that they didn't buy several months ago before rates rose to the levels they are now. But is it really cheaper to buy a Bend home today than it was six months ago? Let's look at the true difference between these two markets and see what the numbers actually say.
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In April, we were still living under high demand for Bend homes and a $500,000 property hitting the market would often generate